bob schrum, does somebody have an advantage beyond the numbers that shows this is a razor-tight race? >> i think there are a couple of things underneath these numbers that are actually pretty good for the president. first of all, as nate silver from the "times" has pointed out, the president has led in 80 pgt of t 80% of the polls in the swing states. secondly, romney is losing hispanics by 48 points. as steve will tell you, you can't lose hispanics by 48 points, be a republican candidate and get elected president. thirdly, i think romney insisted so strongly that this was purely a referendum. if you feel badly about the economy, vote for me, i'm not going to tell you much else about myself, that he opened a way for the president to define him during what i regard as a critical summer season. >> i think when you look at the numbers there's some news in there that's very bad for president obama. the fact is that the approval level for people -- his handling of the economy is now in the 30s. the pessimism in the country is rising. the wrong track number is increasing. mitt romney has be